Review: Draw Inflation Tool

"As a tool that can only be used during pre-match trading it makes sense that it complements the Pre-Match Trading tool very well."

Draw Inflation is a software tool that spots when the pre-match price of the Draw in football Match Odds markets is either overpriced or underpriced. This in turn provides the opportunity to Back or Lay the Draw (or the Underdog) for a movement of a handful of ticks to trade in and out to secure your profit before kick-off.

*July 2017 Update: The Draw Inflation tool is now not sold separately and comes free, as standard, with either the Pre-Match Trading Tool or the In-Play Scanner.*

Read the In-Play Scanner review by clicking here.

Read the Pre-Match Trading review by clicking here.

How Does Draw Inflation Work?

The Draw Inflation tool uses Poisson Distribution (a type of mathematical calculation that a lot of football models are based on) to spot when the pre-match price of the draw on a football match is either too high or too low. For an example of the tool being used to profit from this situation, watch the video below:

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Draw Inflation Tool

What Edge Will It Give Me?

Draw Inflation does all the hard work for you in spotting when the pre-match price of the draw is too high or too low. All you have to do is act on the information and scalp out as many ticks as the market allows.

It is a great introduction for anyone new to pre-match trading due to how easy it is to get to grips with.        

What Do I Get with Draw Inflation?

Subscription gets you access to just the Draw Inflation tool. However, for better value I advise you to subscribe to either the In-Play Scanner or the Pre-Mach Trading tool where you get Draw Inflation as part of the package.

What Ways Can I Use Draw Inflation?

As you’d expect, DI can only be used in the Match Odds market.

When the Draw Inflation percentage is over 15-17% it generally indicates that the price of the draw is too low and therefore placing a lay bet, or backing the underdog, is the best course of action. The preferred method is to scalp ticks until the Draw Inflation % returns to normal levels (between 0% and 15-17%).

If the Draw Inflation percentage is low (close to 0% or less) it indicates the price of the draw is too high. Therefore, the trade would be to Back the draw and/or Lay the underdog. Again, you’re just looking to nick a few ticks through scalping the market.

It is best to only get involved with matches where the markets are properly formed – so you would want at least £30,000 matched in the Match Odds market. Email alerts are available to inform you when this occurs on games that are starting within the next 24-36 hours. You usually have to be quick to get on these once you’re alerted as it’s often a matter of fastest finger first.

Draw Inflation - Email Notification Example
Draw Inflation - Email Notification Example
Screenshot of Draw Inflation - As Part of the In-Play Scanner Package
Draw Inflation - As Part of the In-Play Scanner Package

Final Thoughts

In my honest opinion I don’t think the Draw Inflation tool is worth subscribing to solely on its own. However, it does come free with both the Pre-Match Trading tool and the In-Play Scanner tool. The DI tool costs £24 per month on its own, but for another £15 a month you can subscribe to either of the other tools and get Draw Inflation for free.

Seeing as this is a tool that can only be used during pre-match trading it makes sense that it complements the Pre-Match Trading tool – so it is a very useful addition when subscribing to that. It’s a bit at odds with the In-Play Scanner, but is a nice extra that would be a good introduction to trading pre-match football if that’s not something you’re overly familiar with.

Monthly
£ 24
3 Months
£ 62
Best Value
6 Months
£ 104

Top Tips

  • You’re better off asking for a price 1 tick higher rather than taking the current back or lay price. This gives you a bigger profit if the market goes the way you’re expecting but also protects you against a movement the wrong way
  • Having only one aspect of the market to concentrate on means it is great for novice traders learning how to trade the pre-match football markets.
  • Training videos are pretty good for this tool and there are plenty of them
  • As low risk as it gets due to the slow pace of Pre-Match football markets
  • Limited as a tool on its own as it will only give you the edge in one market
  • Better value if subscribing to either the Pre-Match Trading tool or the In-Play Scanner where you will get it for free as part of the package

FAQ

There are no FAQ about this tool currently.

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