Draw Inflation is a software tool that spots when the pre-match price of the Draw in football Match Odds markets is either overpriced or underpriced. This in turn provides the opportunity to Back or Lay the Draw (or the Underdog) for a movement of a handful of ticks to trade in and out to secure your profit before kick-off.
How Does Draw Inflation Work?
The Draw Inflation tool uses Poisson Distribution (a type of mathematical calculation that a lot of football models are based on) to spot when the pre-match price of the draw on a football match is either too high or too low. For an example of the tool being used to profit from this situation, watch the video below:
What Do I Get with Draw Inflation?
Subscription gets you access to just the Draw Inflation tool. However, for better value I advise you to subscribe to either the In-Play Scanner or the Pre-Mach Trading tool where you get Draw Inflation as part of the package.
What Ways Can I Use Draw Inflation?
As you’d expect, DI can only be used in the Match Odds market.
When the Draw Inflation percentage is over 15-17% it generally indicates that the price of the draw is too low and therefore placing a lay bet, or backing the underdog, is the best course of action. The preferred method is to scalp ticks until the Draw Inflation % returns to normal levels (between 0% and 15-17%).
If the Draw Inflation percentage is low (close to 0% or less) it indicates the price of the draw is too high. Therefore, the trade would be to Back the draw and/or Lay the underdog. Again, you’re just looking to nick a few ticks through scalping the market.
It is best to only get involved with matches where the markets are properly formed – so you would want at least £30,000 matched in the Match Odds market. Email alerts are available to inform you when this occurs on games that are starting within the next 24-36 hours. You usually have to be quick to get on these once you’re alerted as it’s often a matter of fastest finger first.
In my honest opinion I don’t think the Draw Inflation tool is worth subscribing to solely on its own. However, it does come free with both the Pre-Match Trading tool and the In-Play Scanner tool. The DI tool costs £24 per month on its own, but for another £15 a month you can subscribe to either of the other tools and get Draw Inflation for free.
Seeing as this is a tool that can only be used during pre-match trading it makes sense that it complements the Pre-Match Trading tool – so it is a very useful addition when subscribing to that. It’s a bit at odds with the In-Play Scanner, but is a nice extra that would be a good introduction to trading pre-match football if that’s not something you’re overly familiar with.
There are no FAQ about this tool currently.